14
Aug
07

The fate of the Pirates’ season

The Pirates have 46 games left in the season and their record is currently 49-67. The inquisitive reader may be wondering, “What has to happen for the Pirates to break their streak of consecutive losing seasons?” Well, since the season consists of 162 games, in order for the Pirates to have a winning season, they need to win 82 games. They currently have 49 wins and they need 82. Thus, they need to win 33 games out of their remaining 46. This means that their record during the remaining 46 games must be 33-13, for a win percentage of 0.717.

Given the Pirates’ performance during the 2nd half of the season, this seems pretty unlikely.  However, they have won 4 out of their last 5, so they’ve obviously turned things around a bit in comparison to a few weeks ago.

Fortunately, in order for the Pirates to have another 100-loss season, they would need to lose 33 or more games out of their remaining 46, which also seems pretty improbable.  Heather and I will be at their games on Thursday against the Mets and Sunday against the Phillies, so hopefully, these two games will net the Pirates another two wins.  It’ll be pretty depressing, though, if they lose both games.  In any case, these games will give me an opportunity to wear my Pirates jersey, which I don’t normally get much opportunity to wear since we live in Boston.


2 Responses to “The fate of the Pirates’ season”


  1. 1 Colin
    August 14, 2007 at 8:45 am

    I’d just like to add that the Pirates went 2-14 in July after the All-Star Break. So far in August, they’re 7-5. If they do go 33-13 for the rest of the season, they will have gone 42-32 since the All-Star Break, for a win percentage of 0.567, which is really not unreasonably high. That said, it does seem unlikely that they would be able to win over 70% of their games for a stretch of over 45 games. Only time will tell.

  2. August 14, 2007 at 1:25 pm

    You look hot in that jersey photo!


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